Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 0.000115 0.000128 0.000141 0.000157 0.000174 0.000193 0.000215
2025-11-09 0.000096 0.000113 0.000132 0.000156 0.000184 0.000216 0.000256
2025-11-16 0.000082 0.000101 0.000124 0.000154 0.000191 0.000235 0.000294
2025-11-23 0.000071 0.000092 0.000118 0.000153 0.000198 0.000256 0.000336
2025-11-30 0.000063 0.000085 0.000114 0.000153 0.000207 0.000278 0.000381
2025-12-07 0.000056 0.000079 0.000108 0.000151 0.000212 0.000297 0.000422
2025-12-14 0.000052 0.000075 0.000106 0.000153 0.000223 0.000322 0.000475
2025-12-21 0.000048 0.000071 0.000103 0.000154 0.000231 0.000344 0.000525
2025-12-28 0.000044 0.000066 0.000100 0.000153 0.000236 0.000362 0.000571
2026-01-04 0.000041 0.000064 0.000098 0.000155 0.000246 0.000389 0.000632
2026-01-11 0.000038 0.000061 0.000096 0.000155 0.000253 0.000411 0.000687
2026-01-18 0.000035 0.000058 0.000093 0.000155 0.000259 0.000430 0.000740
2026-01-25 0.000033 0.000055 0.000091 0.000154 0.000264 0.000450 0.000796
2026-02-01 0.000031 0.000052 0.000088 0.000154 0.000270 0.000473 0.000860
2026-02-08 0.000028 0.000049 0.000085 0.000152 0.000274 0.000491 0.000916
2026-02-15 0.000026 0.000047 0.000083 0.000151 0.000279 0.000513 0.000982
2026-02-22 0.000025 0.000045 0.000082 0.000152 0.000286 0.000538 0.001056
2026-03-01 0.000023 0.000043 0.000079 0.000150 0.000289 0.000556 0.001119
2026-03-08 0.000022 0.000042 0.000079 0.000152 0.000300 0.000588 0.001213
2026-03-15 0.000021 0.000041 0.000077 0.000153 0.000307 0.000616 0.001299
2026-03-22 0.000020 0.000039 0.000075 0.000152 0.000311 0.000636 0.001373
2026-03-29 0.000019 0.000038 0.000075 0.000154 0.000322 0.000672 0.001484
2026-04-05 0.000018 0.000037 0.000074 0.000154 0.000329 0.000700 0.001580